Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 2:25:00 P.M. to 11/01/2026, 2:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
77% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,798.08
Unexplained QUAI: 4,060.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
13
86.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
17,858.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 17859 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (23% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
13,798.08 QUAI across 13 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net sender
Unknown type
1,243.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
Net sender
Unknown type
1,110.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007fa32B7fe6A578Fa89fFC98E1BfA459A80De41
Net sender
Unknown type
1,093.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076Cd21c9C6ec73c3cE131fdD6bd07fF61eC0fF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,082.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 13,798.08 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
19 tx
46,745.71 QUAI • 36 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:24:30 P.M.
+1 min
15 tx
17,858.69 QUAI • 34 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:25:34 P.M.
-2 min
34 tx
221,033.24 QUAI • 51 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:23:25 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
8,516.52 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:26:38 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
382,227.03 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:22:15 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:27:42 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:21:10 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:28:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,243.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
989.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:55 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d0015102c0b83de7d6ed82566f4340e7cf9b1df0b0dbe79fae26436aee2ca
1,051.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:55 P.M.
From: 0x001F886862d2bAeBc3859AdC3c8a7edD1dA22A3b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110067a80f0d0a4ae4f52b0b94cb2e905e570c4dcd85aacc09804e52c28b13
1,061.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
From: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d00389dbe5c1a61fede7b0df597305e2eb335af8cc2edf134c87dc1bd1574
992.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
From: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00250058c505d5f2ee8bc2812c2d9700ce1d2388d7230e514b7197ac4315324f
1,243.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000800407bb4df3303ed63dcd122c494ff487be3c55ffff9aa483333f5c93f45
1,064.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
From: 0x003BdABB9346516e60d508C7116B498172Fe92F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051003f8121c6f4d7b7ddbef449f44acc4aaa1c23eb760a31b497e08a4f56a6
1,004.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c00685c16dbce3b3d9c6dc845841de8cdacebff1f1f393261e0172579d5cc
1,026.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x0052efeF40EeE44E15D1a282200fE36dEfAfCD62
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d00535b6ce4951c2b231c84ad56d7981b27daef4a35cfa0ee9b6c7064095d
1,110.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053002692586edac22046b8442d78769195c69a4833280824aea53dde29e433
1,001.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x00725a1916Ac8c9FF5ceB5eca7aa933875ba117d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054005c3c898b6f957df22c6da6e0e3682f1e6e1a304d32a3684c37fca67b4c
1,076.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x007ca2be4E2eDB8ff1839fd5149C597bffB28880
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a000c30aff07f9435fe045795b902223be54bf0d338924401ef94f373d2b8
1,082.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x0076Cd21c9C6ec73c3cE131fdD6bd07fF61eC0fF
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001600306815ff6e319e052a30e06da2afe17c211342232a1e9d8d360055302e
1,093.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x007fa32B7fe6A578Fa89fFC98E1BfA459A80De41
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00510054eb87d5be6efae0a3f3292217c63b58672fd820c52f509ac086d3b440
