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Spike bucket

11/01/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/01/2026, 2:25:00 P.M. to 11/01/2026, 2:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
77% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,798.08
Unexplained QUAI: 4,060.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
13
86.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
17,858.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 17859 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (23% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
13,798.08 QUAI across 13 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net sender
Unknown type
1,243.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
Net sender
Unknown type
1,110.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007fa32B7fe6A578Fa89fFC98E1BfA459A80De41
Net sender
Unknown type
1,093.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076Cd21c9C6ec73c3cE131fdD6bd07fF61eC0fF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,082.5 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 13,798.08 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

13 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 15. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,243.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

13 transactions
989.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:55 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d0015102c0b83de7d6ed82566f4340e7cf9b1df0b0dbe79fae26436aee2ca
Open txWallet profile
1,051.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:55 P.M.
From: 0x001F886862d2bAeBc3859AdC3c8a7edD1dA22A3b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110067a80f0d0a4ae4f52b0b94cb2e905e570c4dcd85aacc09804e52c28b13
Open txWallet profile
1,061.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
From: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d00389dbe5c1a61fede7b0df597305e2eb335af8cc2edf134c87dc1bd1574
Open txWallet profile
992.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
From: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00250058c505d5f2ee8bc2812c2d9700ce1d2388d7230e514b7197ac4315324f
Open txWallet profile
1,243.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000800407bb4df3303ed63dcd122c494ff487be3c55ffff9aa483333f5c93f45
Open txWallet profile
1,064.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
From: 0x003BdABB9346516e60d508C7116B498172Fe92F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051003f8121c6f4d7b7ddbef449f44acc4aaa1c23eb760a31b497e08a4f56a6
Open txWallet profile
1,004.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c00685c16dbce3b3d9c6dc845841de8cdacebff1f1f393261e0172579d5cc
Open txWallet profile
1,026.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x0052efeF40EeE44E15D1a282200fE36dEfAfCD62
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d00535b6ce4951c2b231c84ad56d7981b27daef4a35cfa0ee9b6c7064095d
Open txWallet profile
1,110.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053002692586edac22046b8442d78769195c69a4833280824aea53dde29e433
Open txWallet profile
1,001.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x00725a1916Ac8c9FF5ceB5eca7aa933875ba117d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054005c3c898b6f957df22c6da6e0e3682f1e6e1a304d32a3684c37fca67b4c
Open txWallet profile
1,076.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x007ca2be4E2eDB8ff1839fd5149C597bffB28880
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a000c30aff07f9435fe045795b902223be54bf0d338924401ef94f373d2b8
Open txWallet profile
1,082.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x0076Cd21c9C6ec73c3cE131fdD6bd07fF61eC0fF
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001600306815ff6e319e052a30e06da2afe17c211342232a1e9d8d360055302e
Open txWallet profile
1,093.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:25:22 P.M.
From: 0x007fa32B7fe6A578Fa89fFC98E1BfA459A80De41
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00510054eb87d5be6efae0a3f3292217c63b58672fd820c52f509ac086d3b440
Open txWallet profile