Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 2:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 2:23:00 P.M. to 11/01/2026, 2:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,108.88
Unexplained QUAI: 185,924.35
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
0.6x previous minute
4.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
34
Observable rows
11
32.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
221,033.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 221033 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 38
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 2:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (16%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
29,921.88 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,187 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0020Ebf21ca87FbAf46639999f1453B934853bFc
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,187 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006501DAffeFF3166cD6eC1664029A426fEA7E71
Net sender
Unknown type
3,313.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C4963396F9A6C15e738E5993B9Faf3676f7F0
Net sender
Unknown type
3,299.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 29,921.88 QUAI
From exchange: 5,187 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
34 tx
221,033.24 QUAI • 51 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:23:25 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
382,227.03 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:22:15 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:21:10 P.M.
+2 min
19 tx
46,745.71 QUAI • 36 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:24:30 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:20:07 P.M.
+3 min
15 tx
17,858.69 QUAI • 34 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:25:34 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:19:04 P.M.
+4 min
8 tx
8,516.52 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:26:38 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,187 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0020Ebf21ca87FbAf46639999f1453B934853bFc
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
2,711.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:38 P.M.
From: 0x001Eda6B985a28e6ce542825bC5839f5Ab8E89d4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004100324182c4e97159bc0b7efb6b67a90397607a50869e32d79de57958cad5
2,965.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:38 P.M.
From: 0x0062FCD81D253224b7C75CA11E114Dd1C252B1A3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f00088d4d404ca5c82b656e08b83e0dfd681ccc42c6f4eacf20524c1bf6a3
2,748.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:38 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004Ed2aD1228f815B4A18177B4dEc58ba8010f48
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004400301d30b626b44b5195260be9df03ad96c35885d2c1dd1f80fc178fbabc
2,649.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:38 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004F62fFC8a66f549Df1FA3079e8A1508006c20B
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b002d025bb52ed566127692de42f9d1b4097a35ab6519b7198147d21b4392
2,636.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:38 P.M.
From: 0x0040402a869b76f4f59e5D437d0D3b7300AC3DD2
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f007450d2733f18c1e4bcbadd272acc379d109fd370fca9ee7c5b73d1210d
5,187 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:07 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0020Ebf21ca87FbAf46639999f1453B934853bFc
Tx: 0x00100064ce0c944cffb720932123b7f0153d497c4631275403c915c72cc6a94b
3,186.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x005CB98AAe3eA1181F495685c41aeD873A9fBab8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00730069446bfa9d4fd0a72d45143013576f3301f3eb3d69d82160a0cfd1e19a
3,116 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:07 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0066e4081031e109830ae61BDC5B2a32f2BE9243
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002100004fea81f333e5e758c9c3fa00314e561f0ab06a4ab24cf788f75fc4db
3,313.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x006501DAffeFF3166cD6eC1664029A426fEA7E71
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e00752debcd8dea62774b7d0c700d48a5ac96929c884e7e78967adba66d8a
3,295.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x0015B6254DfddA8cFdf5f4A35c25591C0A600b0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004006781ac9ac8fb5eb4217ac3f6b1094771cc4b8eb612d71d68814e03174c
3,299.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x002C4963396F9A6C15e738E5993B9Faf3676f7F0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d00494398f1e33ca9c3dcdd3c12ca8236e400a871fb2f7ef6f8dacedb8373
