Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 2:21:00 P.M. to 11/01/2026, 2:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 382,227.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0013a4564A09E3cB07836deaA34896DE59e563B1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0013a4564A09E3cB07836deaA34896DE59e563B1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
382,227.03 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0013a4564A09E3cB07836deaA34896DE59e563B1
Net sender
Unknown type
234,899.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053604f3287BFcEDE38956712311aa7801BA734
Net sender
Unknown type
49,699.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net sender
Unknown type
45,709.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031cB2e38C2c170b39F24a6c63939d316190849
Net sender
Unknown type
29,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 382,227.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:21:10 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:20:07 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
382,227.03 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:22:15 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:19:04 P.M.
+2 min
34 tx
221,033.24 QUAI • 51 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:23:25 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:18:00 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
199.65 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:16:55 P.M.
+4 min
19 tx
46,745.71 QUAI • 36 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:24:30 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
234,899.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:21:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0013a4564A09E3cB07836deaA34896DE59e563B1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
49,699.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:21:22 P.M.
From: 0x0053604f3287BFcEDE38956712311aa7801BA734
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670063e72a39315d864762a9a2cbb27d7de4e277791904922c50a0a92b2102
29,999.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:21:22 P.M.
From: 0x0031cB2e38C2c170b39F24a6c63939d316190849
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044002eea404f7f1ca223702bcf0ad9ea30cb17c64dfe49a2e0731797a8a81f
21,919.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:21:22 P.M.
From: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00170067d80b0942efad0e453b12bc7d4c94a539047dd77ac882d17752801b91
234,899.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:21:22 P.M.
From: 0x0013a4564A09E3cB07836deaA34896DE59e563B1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00570058388ff75f3fc9aa7a1fa5ebb1971871ec51125a3a004a6d9e14823eaa
45,709.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:21:22 P.M.
From: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c00429bb6f23d1deb8dd1df5e03ed4511b28acaf4a9ba65d7ebd0ba5868e5