Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 2:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 2:16:00 P.M. to 11/01/2026, 2:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 199.65
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
5.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
199.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 200 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 2:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
199.65 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
Net receiver
Unknown type
99.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000782c20ae9bd4Ac49789cC43883E5C3d870f05
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:15:52 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:14:48 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
199.65 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:16:55 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:13:45 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:18:00 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
110.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:12:41 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:19:04 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/01/2026, 2:11:37 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
99.37 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:16:17 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
49.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:16:53 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000782c20ae9bd4Ac49789cC43883E5C3d870f05
Tx: 0x000b002dcaaeaa3cbeaf4c272c8ee5e472ec6aaa2b1f30f65aae4c0005a254c5
50.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:16:35 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x0010000aeb0375d1a59c74d093aa84ed878673bfae19773283df017983f88e72
99.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 2:16:17 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
Tx: 0x00460070bf140afb4aae09d350e49fa116cc59d2a49354478df7f9ac9e3fed8d