Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 11:07:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 11:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,580.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
5.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
10,580.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10581 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
10,580.61 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,291.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d4e012791f3B77e7E8aC58B1f5fe6DF2e05FC
Net sender
Unknown type
5,288.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
5,396.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:06:40 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:05:34 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,580.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:07:44 A.M.
+2 min
50 tx
890.26 QUAI • 63 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:08:48 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:04:27 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:09:52 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:10:56 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
49.76 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:02:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,291.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 11:07:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5,288.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 11:07:29 A.M.
From: 0x004d4e012791f3B77e7E8aC58B1f5fe6DF2e05FC
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0026000c17113a8b65163954cab3dc31d4d67edae773e85f0281a459131433c4
5,291.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 11:07:14 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x003a0058d1a86bf755daa8a024751828ce5d93b34f225d213cbd5ffafebeb6fe
