Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 11:05:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,396.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00203162abaf1b657E37471068F3789F115a9817 • 0x004d4e012791f3B77e7E8aC58B1f5fe6DF2e05FC.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00203162abaf1b657E37471068F3789F115a9817 • 0x004d4e012791f3B77e7E8aC58B1f5fe6DF2e05FC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00203162abaf1b657E37471068F3789F115a9817
Net sender
Unknown type
5,291.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d4e012791f3B77e7E8aC58B1f5fe6DF2e05FC
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,291.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
104.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Net receiver
Unknown type
104.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:04:27 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:05:34 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
5,396.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:06:40 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
49.76 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:02:22 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,580.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:07:44 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
190 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:01:18 A.M.
+4 min
50 tx
890.26 QUAI • 63 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:08:48 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 11:00:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,291.95 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 11:05:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00203162abaf1b657E37471068F3789F115a9817
To: 0x004d4e012791f3B77e7E8aC58B1f5fe6DF2e05FC
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5,291.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 11:05:54 A.M.
From: 0x00203162abaf1b657E37471068F3789F115a9817
To: 0x004d4e012791f3B77e7E8aC58B1f5fe6DF2e05FC
Tx: 0x0007001435a1b4f675dabcb4f2b662f6dc26f702ba8769d5813a953568bae626
104.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 11:05:54 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Tx: 0x0009004fca86563c0e3935a9f24ae8f616e22efa873b66585dcac89b5a246cfc