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Spike bucket

11/01/2026, 10:30:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/01/2026, 10:30:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 10:31:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

67% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 311.12

Unexplained QUAI: 150

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

3.2x above local average

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

461.12 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0067974CD9B68ACF279F5A256cf9c128b960B77a.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 461 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0067974CD9B68ACF279F5A256cf9c128b960B77a.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 11/01/2026, 10:30:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net sender

Exchange

311.12 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0067974CD9B68ACF279F5A256cf9c128b960B77a

Net receiver

Unknown type

311.12 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 311.12 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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1 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 2. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.