Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 4:10:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 306.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
246.7 QUAI across 17 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
59.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
59.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Net receiver
Unknown type
39.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/01/2026, 4:10:07 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
631.97 QUAI • 64 addresses
11/01/2026, 4:09:04 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
306.03 QUAI • 33 addresses
11/01/2026, 4:11:12 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,297.49 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/01/2026, 4:07:59 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 4:12:17 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/01/2026, 4:06:56 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/01/2026, 4:13:20 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
80.35 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/01/2026, 4:05:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
59.34 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
4.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004528a0A6e03b254D20593d159860aafb779C29
Tx: 0x002c0034bb35080c6ad71cecfd4ef9bb7bfe41aab8f65c77c7af98835aa60d7f
4.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x0006002f03c7c2ea4e4bdfdd75221e1c129e23713b41c9b3d00dfd43b01f7fd8
5.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005529e6E13B3A8D2Dde36eeBE75846264325c35
Tx: 0x0070007ce343cf480007f9994bf5a48b15ea2b5dec71413268a1dca5b4329cf9
4.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000e7116dBDE792216909384F487BEC237807Cd3
Tx: 0x00600010e41a8720604b9e84405279d37fd2c0c42601efbbb09c8e45c72f872f
10.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x0076002b57a4cc5aa146f861773688a38952cd6c93d8df7a159a03147928ee81
14.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x001a007e1443032c03957b0b1de5e90551a30cfd783ae7b0e9947ebb21efbdf7
6.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x0020005fb8a3666f9b4786775fa92806d49a72ebebb11fef183c22964b55a5f8
14.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Tx: 0x0001007200b9c8f2c32f9869c53eb57d1ef0b6407d8cb4dd9a60c6b9bc4a85cc
6.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x00290046fe3029add1b3df88fd7d5e362aa97c6a6f743f8e7dc5d055d2c4282b
4.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x0057002ce2bb0f79030deb522a41f8d64a82b0e2edcd5a53d75f06b0f0e5e5cc
14.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x0025000f1bf1140007f0c7eec1834359f40102b990121d3e428ae6450a93bcd9
34.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x002e006e72708563f7bbd7a71938d8aae0c69538938dd122cc062d2dd9759bc9
7.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x005c00327458b695915d553043bdbcbf43c2072583fbc0573167a5bd53373daa
20.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x004600295f3aae590eede46983d86401319a9f2d70e2d906e177f326df7889c2
5.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002E3d9A44C87B179Fe996e5fa183271c28c736F
Tx: 0x00250022755ea9d0c252bf2df1ce12426453b5e9cc89b2dca415da859c2fb44e
39.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Tx: 0x00500062529d9a06a0c5ef4f8070f6aedb659c8616158e6ea11e50b2a1234a37
49.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00780026c1d7a33ae3d6df05ef9cfa299073e3ff2a9a3fdb5c36aece9a1e908e
59.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 4:10:15 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x00110046fb428bb0f1f53214553eeb6194cceae9823c02e8fd5de90fc327b735
