Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 3:12:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 3:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 279.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
279.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 279 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
257.11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
Net sender
Unknown type
148.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
108.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
22.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
22.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 257.11 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
279.22 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:12:27 A.M.
-1 min
13 tx
209.68 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:11:23 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:10:19 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,436.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:13:32 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
831.01 QUAI • 62 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:09:15 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:14:37 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:08:11 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
39.3 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:15:40 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
148.62 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:12:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
148.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:12:17 A.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005600558fcd9ef789b67f3d62b79b1afd411fd9a8712f4e402a85c94ed8eca3
108.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:12:17 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0060002408f0095689b8466e6ec092eed767574a337ec4174fe18acf16451731
22.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:12:17 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x006c00598d55a47049deb368e4bc8b76e6c00af564ca43ab99ce384e005ecf58
