Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 3:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 3:10:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 3:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 209.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 3:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
209.68 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Net receiver
Unknown type
41.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Net receiver
Unknown type
16.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:10:19 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
831.01 QUAI • 62 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:09:15 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
209.68 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:11:23 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:08:11 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
279.22 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:12:27 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:07:07 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:06:02 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,436.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 3:13:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
51.18 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
37.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x00580048ff73ccfce152219540074a26f48cf53152ed13231dbf200d4a2d4c18
6.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007927F508440032Db37A5f7c1e653d9917B429B
Tx: 0x000d0032fd8db37b156b040c354ae8d37d4c2598a87d4127334f2e9182c691ed
16.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x000c001f0663920655f918061ba836df9690e021e3fd36f46163278eb75a36d0
6.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002E3d9A44C87B179Fe996e5fa183271c28c736F
Tx: 0x004d006a1d826bf5bdb273c7d8f5eaab20250b49e1e0e8e1990978c9a0768389
10.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x003c004ef6c6f5499716126e12ba0aba87d2137acdf69796f27a711323216bb0
13.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x003f00115e6a3095758e6dd87ad126901a965f986ac9ffb1e233def2f1467ad0
5.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x000e006cda03f7c053ec71907bad97391804cd93780761027e57989e132b82f6
8.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x007e0076e4f6dc1f9763875d039d2541b07559c04c5199ceeb4b882ad8b5587c
41.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Tx: 0x00430049923791f0dedffaa67cec60fc897e843338d693864e5c3bbcafa31fd6
4.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x00450041e678ecf6813083a6467cdc1a197f6549ddf3b9e8f56eae0a7457e255
3.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x0014000f5247bba780ffe2aac0cce8c5f23ffd48735ad9a1698e5fc0a0aaa034
51.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x002500247b481dc2fcb6bb0358f70096a19fd6e60fce5cfabcc04e2dad900e9f
3.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 3:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x00440037406a01e16c5ccb441337e388be73ae538ca3b91b00ea73abc8da6458