Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 1:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 1:42:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 1:43:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
23% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,699.19
Unexplained QUAI: 9,244.95
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
11,944.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 11944 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 1:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (23%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,235.46 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
651.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003EFc6E61BB4B03A165EA5dFf88E1F496f7F8cE
Net sender
Unknown type
599.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
532.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
437.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,235.46 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
28,739.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:41:28 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
11,944.14 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:42:32 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:40:23 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
6,700.44 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:43:37 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
1,492.64 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:39:19 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
22,080.83 QUAI • 26 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:44:41 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
15,332.85 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:38:16 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
2,069.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:45:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
599.91 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003EFc6E61BB4B03A165EA5dFf88E1F496f7F8cE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
119.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0043269F7beFF2bFe861Ed4b8d6a1645eD05130D
Tx: 0x004b000051f2160d4a7d049c7a0ad2dd04c405c370b6aa3e0a1364f68c320b93
336.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00481bc283aFBc1f6B7bce093fa1Dd5e78BC9896
Tx: 0x00690024a5c3b99f8c3ef17f04e8109a1d7e2d24560cabfd30be9a8a06c127cc
374.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:30 A.M.
From: 0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00710000c651e9fae49064b4b8fdf759372697d3a2e37b12766172b34dcf6d47
101.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0047Fe6d90707678c7D25ca3b6e0e20592F8a17d
Tx: 0x007f0050c3d95ad9ec4177d785c9932474d07a01efe08282c1317df6efe85af9
532.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x00260044f84be560f77c5efe5da1a49602af3b8732caafcb85201f81cdfc239b
118.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:02 A.M.
From: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00160027e2492f35c74d440ef398dabef2395a8a61d987fe9acde78303dadbe7
166.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:02 A.M.
From: 0x003Dc4eDA0c79E6B30DAebC1110Bb0268e9a6713
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068002ad2ad656e71f58ee80b30d00db13be97b3836b39090c414c4c13804d2
350.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:02 A.M.
From: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110063effefafc32ef39e85463351f6a56341a1f655d7b1c483dfbc2edd72b
599.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:42:02 A.M.
From: 0x003EFc6E61BB4B03A165EA5dFf88E1F496f7F8cE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00690042997e990c09f71be1ce7244eec32cbf0342d294fd5040a1310e7d75ff