Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 1:29:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 1:29:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 1:30:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
72% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,965.13
Unexplained QUAI: 4,291.82
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
5.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
8
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
15,256.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 15257 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 1:29:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,893.63 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,071.5 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,182.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00311c2c160012bFa7Be37B3572b9C05f0fD410D
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,680.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F9B887946Fcd1894d3f393C0A09C6C77004d8
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,169.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
7,836.84 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:28:32 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
15,256.95 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:29:36 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
2,924.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:27:28 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
20,748.15 QUAI • 33 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:30:42 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:26:24 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate10 tx
44,146.02 QUAI • 33 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:31:46 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
19,105.95 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:25:20 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
8,281.05 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:32:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,182.91 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
880 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
Tx: 0x0057000162195172f87c63ebc743cba7dbc3654afc2b1ba4516faa41dbe2ea64
492.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
Tx: 0x00590005b98bc4993a1206f87f1cdde8fb73043941e25bea141f07a67c76c3a1
282.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Tx: 0x00100025e1cb5e4d1fa0936a24561484b8a9f15a8538d31f19661a9f353963e6
3,680.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00311c2c160012bFa7Be37B3572b9C05f0fD410D
Tx: 0x0034002acde725fbd379656db66ebd128c4d549ab7bda98ec66b9afb02e4860a
1,169.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002F9B887946Fcd1894d3f393C0A09C6C77004d8
Tx: 0x00720032a385fac29b74826f862b52890e9ab47cfe5dc3f3968bba6b62ef43af
4,182.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Tx: 0x0027006092b59f7356980066804b0ce3e123301b0719ec5094009b848d322d3f
162.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Tx: 0x007200527b8e73919afddbcf2e97f7f843745ca9925d20f051bc6e06ad5ec84b
114.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:29:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0030BAE143FD07361E4e49fE227bD1724899921c
Tx: 0x001c002dbf76193037bb41d28570d49d46d231dfe492517cb2f85a7d733d4773
