Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 1:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 1:21:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 1:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
63% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,847.09
Unexplained QUAI: 1,696.66
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
4,543.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4544 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 1:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (37% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,380.38 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net receiver
Unknown type
921.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
763.37 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
703.34 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Net receiver
Unknown type
538.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
4,543.76 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:21:02 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
6,242.04 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:19:58 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
2,847.09 QUAI • 26 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:22:07 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
8,242.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:18:53 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
4,759.53 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:23:11 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate17 tx
26,774.37 QUAI • 31 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:17:49 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
9,782.99 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:24:16 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
11,990.56 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:16:44 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
921.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
110.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:38 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00719cD04359CbEEd8e5E93ebD6b02CEf2bBED28
Tx: 0x007d0020c85b05578e6a5771bcefc53108d5cd363dfc4651c20338a569232e00
281.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00289CF4F6fEA7E8779cA1c316a844773C07A208
Tx: 0x007d000d746002e1d7132331bd0c45cd289642a4d2ce44a620153c7349419528
117.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001c9765Baa98a952401E23a32055617bCE29d78
Tx: 0x0040005cdaeffbfa286b2a3aa7dde968e53a3df42f63f9bd181f08d629394c2d
491.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:30 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x0076003dd615e131dfdba8561533dda7dd7982403d90fb4324df77219b1972f0
538.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x002d00532ac0532fffc9dd8956e89f634dad1fe614e3f3f499157a96e55c4b74
177.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x0010007c537e72aec9e966ec46b6bd517dcd12e135fa402d9f98ad14a7d1459a
101.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006c9810cEeD7D5d0b86745A83b8458220B55D09
Tx: 0x0050002512f5f55a521927fd27c99496d3acf4c1db54c95300aabc7963cf57eb
921.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x001e002797210f99e85b448adb0aa255928fe4c2fe4edef7aff059eb3a48819f
107.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:21:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x00670032abadf8360a2295a67221527b6637fe4ecc1a6c8b6deaf72ded40ddc5