Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 1:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 1:06:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 1:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 508.15
Unexplained QUAI: 6,196.7
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
6,704.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 6705 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 1:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
371.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Net receiver
Unknown type
371.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
137.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
Net receiver
Unknown type
137.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
6,200 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:05:54 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
6,200 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:04:50 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
6,704.85 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:06:58 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:03:46 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate11 tx
24,230.49 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:08:02 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:02:43 A.M.
+3 min
56 tx
3,984.29 QUAI • 69 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:09:08 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:01:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
371.07 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:06:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
371.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:06:13 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Tx: 0x0042007596dbdbdf12161e12e8d01d4696a766f1a954ba24cf3e015d35d37220
137.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:06:13 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
Tx: 0x00240068b8cb990891b74499d4d0c19246a337fc76186e6436237a12ae122094