Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 1:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 1:04:00 A.M. to 11/01/2026, 1:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,400
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
6,200 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6200 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 1:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
6,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076B4c97ffd5C9cf02EB756f6D545fb7589B519
Net sender
Unknown type
6,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c362F7C1A8bF3573E004838282a5A2dcd7ab2
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:03:46 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:02:43 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
6,200 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:04:50 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:01:37 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
6,200 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:05:54 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:00:33 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
6,704.85 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:06:58 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate11 tx
24,230.49 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/01/2026, 1:08:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:04:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
6,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:04:57 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x000c007235d6afc36bff0144c0b48465631a48b189e3b985d2bcfeb9339f4075
6,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 1:04:09 A.M.
From: 0x0076B4c97ffd5C9cf02EB756f6D545fb7589B519
To: 0x004c362F7C1A8bF3573E004838282a5A2dcd7ab2
Tx: 0x002600172ac507066053e7e8f0930fa68a25d2f352d2ebc2e1882116c02907d7