Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 11:06:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 11:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
78% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 336.75
Unexplained QUAI: 93.56
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
430.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 430 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
336.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Net receiver
Unknown type
336.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 11:05:36 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
430.31 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 11:06:40 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 11:03:32 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
70.76 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/31/2026, 11:07:45 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate50 tx
603.1 QUAI • 65 addresses
10/31/2026, 11:08:50 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 11:02:28 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 11:09:59 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 11:01:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
336.75 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 11:06:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
336.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 11:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Tx: 0x005c00670c393e9645e1ab2bd6e9b075b547bcda2184204bdc736de019c7796d
