Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 10:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 10:35:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 10:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 10:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 10:34:37 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 10:33:33 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 10:35:41 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 10:36:45 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/31/2026, 10:32:29 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/31/2026, 10:37:50 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
50 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 10:31:24 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 10:38:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 10:35:14 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 10:35:14 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00780052ceab29319c503513fcc8516bd1c753eb89ff54ebd894f63342d36c0b
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 10:35:14 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001200360143247ae2033a31b5e83ec783c4655faada39bfd1dc746bee9fe885