Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 9:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 9:06:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 9:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 163.49
Unexplained QUAI: 211.06
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
6.8x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
2
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
374.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 375 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 9:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net sender
Unknown type
112.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
112.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
51.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000782c20ae9bd4Ac49789cC43883E5C3d870f05
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 112.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
374.55 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 9:06:11 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
55.12 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 9:05:07 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 9:07:15 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 9:04:03 P.M.
+2 min
50 tx
611.37 QUAI • 61 addresses
10/31/2026, 9:08:20 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/31/2026, 9:02:59 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
13,365.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 9:09:23 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 9:01:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
112.05 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 9:06:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
51.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 9:06:00 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000782c20ae9bd4Ac49789cC43883E5C3d870f05
Tx: 0x005500064b47ce90f5424d559b0436d9114efbc6892afe91fce03ec405f4996f
112.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 9:06:00 P.M.
From: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00430058b84a64af798eb11728f03b3e36ff345133058ac9ce3c440aa8afd59c