Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 8:12:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 226.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
226.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 226 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
209.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
107.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Net sender
Unknown type
101.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
16.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
16.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 209.38 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:11:53 P.M.
-1 min
11 tx
155.13 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:10:49 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
226.2 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:12:56 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:09:45 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:14:00 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate50 tx
667.49 QUAI • 64 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:08:41 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:15:04 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:07:37 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
107.8 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
107.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:50 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031005e72a12938caa56dcf252127a648e874a11ee6ceb7e8f5c35b52cb961f
101.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:50 P.M.
From: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550075e54e029c39c328ca63d0eb7f5a58fc8d40f5d0ba5fcdb8b0f7080ed2
16.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:50 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x002c001d6326dde2da1d38c97074443ae56f1d29a1aa6d1ea035edd71836f804