Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 8:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 8:10:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 155.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
155.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 155 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 8:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
155.13 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
26.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d26302a0C81A41B5d303366Ef9439A020Fae2
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:09:45 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate50 tx
667.49 QUAI • 64 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:08:41 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
155.13 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:10:49 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:07:37 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:11:53 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
86.91 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:06:33 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
226.2 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:12:56 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:14:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
43.35 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
9.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000d26302a0C81A41B5d303366Ef9439A020Fae2
Tx: 0x004e00241153b98d56b1b8dd771a80b09e461dbfabee60111887a38c0186d97e
6.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004528a0A6e03b254D20593d159860aafb779C29
Tx: 0x000c0028a33176ed8c21e7a0b26d3546df1ea4fd4c691b54e70ddc4656767f71
8.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x000d007c590a656745705d33a5275c2c05df74bef73857979ce85cd48d707e55
5.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00610e8E9Bbf5933193917ae6c6cA02104c8a670
Tx: 0x0029003eb18246ab3e5bfbc31e58ffff5e4db604af83594d611e8abc55deb4d3
31.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Tx: 0x0077004d3eaecdd5fa7fb39045455de7dc744cb1b426847a5136c6fc869c9ee0
7.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x0063004dd42ba502c809c385051cad6e9453a0478571eeb891ebf8e0ab90c895
4.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002E3d9A44C87B179Fe996e5fa183271c28c736F
Tx: 0x00630028e9b3f47343e9438d11348e65a16749f89b8c4a3ca73c64ab77d1e98f
26.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x000b0016ad71cab055f9d395ddd856a3b5441fef8c83d37f08dbb21c07f25441
8.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x00610031e610f0715e05317b1fce4dd9f74f3d9c2e0fbe4c55e81d9b10643359
43.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x003f003e41b780151bdf57b8d6e51cfa89cee6f81a07b5ab002b90b68c552f3c
4.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x0064004e2ca9b9589e7193b6feb1851c6a057ff217c0e5d13729bfeb044cd3a6