Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 5:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 5:22:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 5:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,400
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
5.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
20,400 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20400 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 5:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
10,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Net sender
Unknown type
10,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00269e0c03bd7056dBF64C596055461bCA94bC74
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:21:50 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:20:46 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,400 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:22:54 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1,325.2 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:19:42 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10,196.7 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:23:57 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:18:39 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:25:01 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:17:35 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:22:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:22:51 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x0058005986216963060a314c76a4afa0b2506a9026570d2ad738d6822eae6359
10,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:22:15 P.M.
From: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
To: 0x00269e0c03bd7056dBF64C596055461bCA94bC74
Tx: 0x0054004a8647e0c9ac0ee9c6be6e5168217e42c381f8aac3ee30945271e37c78