Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 5:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 5:09:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
87% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,695.13
Unexplained QUAI: 707.75
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
12
23.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
66
Asset volume
5,402.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00269e0c03bd7056dBF64C596055461bCA94bC74 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 5403 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00269e0c03bd7056dBF64C596055461bCA94bC74 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 5:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00269e0c03bd7056dBF64C596055461bCA94bC74
Net sender
Unknown type
4,496.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,496.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
198.43 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
46.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate52 tx
5,402.88 QUAI • 66 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:09:03 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:07:59 P.M.
+1 min
12 tx
4,695.13 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:10:07 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:06:55 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:11:11 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:05:51 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
211.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:12:15 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 5:04:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,496.7 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00269e0c03bd7056dBF64C596055461bCA94bC74
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
4,496.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x00269e0c03bd7056dBF64C596055461bCA94bC74
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0020006681b1f640aed399efc4d8e62d4785d39a3859705fd638cc4404057fdf
22.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Tx: 0x00030003e08757f41573466e38634b46602c2424bd2bfa48b71a2826249a4b19
12.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x0038007b08fc7c49bf1be21df89b0662976c6fc6905169dfedff5afc0a3f7515
30.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0050004c362f8249d2d0ea3a8ec5e37ae460f39bac111a28d6409b1b108416ce
11.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Tx: 0x003d007bdf301bebca589bfdb9c0e61dc35e2c40818f2da24c68c3cb4bf13b57
9.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x0008004545a333eff3c417f9b9cfa4517b422e954223d5c04c445ac7858a9cf8
7.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x00560065bdf8fb3723abce0cc798546751160622554db0c5b5d95ef1e60d35a1
36.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Tx: 0x006d0027f9c20c085d06242a7e1e6fc23b8af9b1c8cfd29ec623c1a4e9e7c72d
4.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004528a0A6e03b254D20593d159860aafb779C29
Tx: 0x003e006dc07d79ed816ce2684d67d26a5ba17c5112877733c40a072b751327c4
9.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x0012004c2b83dc1d61d2158bb5fd402fad9a5235fc54d02716c27131c527aec0
7.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x0058003e7e3587c8c6892deb3bcf15b78882052516a3d547e3a78a379a8ab904
46.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 5:09:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0015004e2e00ba3432ee64916d92a9dd5ffdcfd954f941f481e52d835c620df5
