Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 3:26:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,925.54
Unexplained QUAI: 9,381.3
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
8
44.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
17,306.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 17307 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (46%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,325.54 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
Net sender
Unknown type
1,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0006fDF349a5f3235e5aaFA9Ee08aC73e8ba43ac
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Net sender
Unknown type
950 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Net sender
Unknown type
944.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,325.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
8,458.11 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:25:45 P.M.
-1 min
20 tx
27,915.5 QUAI • 38 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
+1 min
18 tx
17,306.84 QUAI • 36 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:26:50 P.M.
-2 min
26 tx
99,933.02 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:23:35 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
95 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:27:54 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate9 tx
127,803.3 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:22:30 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:28:57 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:30:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,600 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
To: 0x0006fDF349a5f3235e5aaFA9Ee08aC73e8ba43ac
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
893.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0008ec06c541eb5c961c4251ad5273a71648977b16a1e5dc1c18610853af
883.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0002006f9be9d4a67e315e2dcd30f5d06f2681b42ed443fd0a5e47f55f8f108a
863.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d002d5766835ba82ea7af889c2e91872c6ebadee4c14353cf287de04a5d2e
1,600 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
To: 0x0006fDF349a5f3235e5aaFA9Ee08aC73e8ba43ac
Tx: 0x005e0062bd469314954f5aa1f6e0fa4c0255f9761a06b9bbeeadec11cbc76c9c
943.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e00056d05385b241f10257948a8d769024aee0de13697f5d93efd643e17e0
950 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073007c1796c32ad8de397eec4290d3246cfad3934c1111198b4463e768a700
944.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a001019d1db71d6cac7af40c0001a2c7adefeea0fdf50556eda96a20647e2
847.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x002590B3362F98D8dc1ac36994f6Fe9F00EC7a64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e001c28a4098e0aa462b07f8405fb21d375fe837a40850bb85701dbe2007a