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Spike bucket

10/31/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/31/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

64% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 17,884.27

Unexplained QUAI: 10,031.23

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 8% of explained volume

Relative context

0.4x above local average

0.2x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

70.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

27,915.5 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00005975e28e8f4E987795d73847956966e59FE3.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 27916 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 40

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00005975e28e8f4E987795d73847956966e59FE3.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 10/31/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (36% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

17,884.27 QUAI across 14 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00005975e28e8f4E987795d73847956966e59FE3

Net sender

Unknown type

1,392.54 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005cc12A6a69C1198B77d74552c4Dca2cE443998

Net sender

Unknown type

1,360.63 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007D573b4c5755EE22648833FB7DE703d90D7B05

Net sender

Unknown type

1,356.52 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC

Net sender

Unknown type

1,344.9 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 17,884.27 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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14 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 20. The remaining 6 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.