Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 391,924.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
2.2x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
283,462.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x003f8593e121573A61B9a1c1384a1E2cfECf65Ff.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 283462 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x003f8593e121573A61B9a1c1384a1E2cfECf65Ff.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
391,924.64 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003f8593e121573A61B9a1c1384a1E2cfECf65Ff
Net sender
Unknown type
143,469.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
139,992.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Net sender
Unknown type
22,240.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net sender
Unknown type
16,449.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 391,924.64 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
283,462.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:21:25 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:20:21 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1,152.7 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:19:17 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
127,803.3 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:22:30 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:18:12 P.M.
+3 min
26 tx
99,933.02 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:23:35 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:17:09 P.M.
+4 min
20 tx
27,915.5 QUAI • 38 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
143,469.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003f8593e121573A61B9a1c1384a1E2cfECf65Ff
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
14,805.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
From: 0x0009f06c8f7FDaF1eDf05DabB6bb20c5597B0AA6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033007d2e545eee80ed597a9e2e23e1254d0e9bf2f6bf37c3c5814e93308649
15,696.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
From: 0x0065B88b305568dc8BdEaf3B102Db8B3f8EcD2Db
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042000e19a7303d1718f57569ea0c227b6abcfd64596615d9d9b79998161077
9,633.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
From: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0060006457b46c5508ed5bba14539493af77e88fc22fdcb27b7af71a8457292b
22,240.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
From: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c001f6e9f280b8a08baa9c4316007191bdb8766a781c15313e6c7cf9b639d
16,449.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
From: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004300383a254afb34a1585fea4fc7a5d81be66253f630df6d19694197a98008
15,698.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
From: 0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061007f999a3b842b22dbcc00a15a0bf08e83effd4d42e84e18100ee2d92090
13,938.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
From: 0x001653fB6051d3AB25B7aacd2D883c5e631BeEeC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d00041a55070bbb04c26608478ccba7b3664e38c3433fe838f92db551659d
139,992.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:01 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a00689385fb528520fc9c2e14f9b19030025d77d82a2b751c4e658d8b374c
143,469.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:21:01 P.M.
From: 0x003f8593e121573A61B9a1c1384a1E2cfECf65Ff
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00600020ad3940e48f93b45b9033155e823ce7249fe7af0a052fbad77a99f24f
