Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 3:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 3:10:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 3:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 279.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
19
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 3:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
277.27 QUAI across 17 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Net receiver
Unknown type
39.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004942173E622357c138ed72F2c15cBA4Be6f403
Net receiver
Unknown type
27.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:09:37 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,617.9 QUAI • 64 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:08:34 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
+2 min
19 tx
279.27 QUAI • 38 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:11:45 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:07:28 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
229.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:12:53 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:06:25 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,254.64 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:13:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
53.42 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
19 transactions
27.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004942173E622357c138ed72F2c15cBA4Be6f403
Tx: 0x0072006941ed897d144f2ff34b5a593129dfad30ca09526115f2a496cb3e5553
3.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005384Cd7aE33b1CC1A2D9843BA446a4706AdA8E
Tx: 0x0031003468b3eb262e869a6ce5ae7cd50435314ec450c7c01516e4907ee39a98
15.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x002d003fe9986fd2e56107b7b6128c0128e62cf829c193191358c70a62552bfe
24.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0007007ff6a2c505bd71ed635ee79ee29e47deea1b3be84ee969ddb9963d1750
6.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568
Tx: 0x0031002c01064cf3dc5273ac6ffc99906c6a2cb3f2ac37c6b88e51c57aa57de7
8.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00055A693cBA1493A9D058C12ad7186f25BB1e19
Tx: 0x00380006a43c0c97fcdf8e0dd85c04cdabef68a971a82ad1cd6cd1ce71d72502
14.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007D8a473723790DDBED074B846015F5A383045A
Tx: 0x001b001361f8a1cac4d058fb9ae4ef6c3be9a444b6b3846e5a33cb7a3a1a624b
12.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x002900724e67a219d5dc54d8e94e153d44d27334b6f7cb76e38aa594050137bf
7.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x005000297b73852adcf1899e13bc234e4220d74485face8f7ad05bf85af52cce
39.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Tx: 0x004a000b49f722a83cef4d955ab7dbbd7c1a7f213ec98f5fb139a41d24221fd2
21.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Tx: 0x0022007e170376d387812e02d86805fa01bc1f5c5d60e439514c497e8a6f0f41
7.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x003700620d4b7979039ae4111f3b4f6e4b613996db7442bc6af7da1eddcfd65d
5.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x004600493c12b81c3f13e4183f1e08929685d86c60cc3036ac517e2e91a6e82f
4.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005B855F9C4f10130D99E19C21f7c7dDFC2955E6
Tx: 0x0029002efa6eb55b3a208dd1bd1bf585c08e36cdbbc499794784f702b2ad788b
13.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x002c000d580278f4539f210a18ce823bfeac66d486f9abf906e6c2601591bbaa
53.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004900473fa2a73062ab0763f20f223fb54855de0c7681cc4c60938d64183f92
11.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Tx: 0x0035003cd117e0aa331d6596744b5eb397e7a232896caa29db569eda9f899c51
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0028004f90abbc06bcb257e300bcc9e566d56ef5f71e00369c1e1ed79f6c5890
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0061002297603e7ebaa6aab70069f3f9eacd596c9812293d11f9f7f8ddb62198
