Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:30:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:31:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 210
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
110 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 110 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
210 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
210 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
3 repeated flows • 210 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
110 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:30:16 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:29:12 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:31:20 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:32:24 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:27:08 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:33:28 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:26:04 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:24:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
100 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:30:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:30:44 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0035001d26c56c318a49e8c37b294252854fcd124bde619a4cda6344eccf4cd0
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:30:14 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0062007ec6ca5eb4850f98b03de2986e3a055880b1caa1390d011b9c5d55cacf
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:30:14 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0025002a3c2d0b1e1a6b3a260a247d82cfb9b7df94377ebb60b06392577677de
