Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:10:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 163.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
20 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 20 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
163.06 QUAI across 12 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Net receiver
Unknown type
19.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007D8a473723790DDBED074B846015F5A383045A
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
20 QUAI • 2 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:10:05 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate51 tx
562.27 QUAI • 65 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:09:01 P.M.
+1 min
12 tx
163.06 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:11:09 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
82.71 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:07:57 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:12:13 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:06:53 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:13:17 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:05:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
43.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
5.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568
Tx: 0x004a00071882737e0e5daca2572ce96c02b661429ee311b57d7168bd1ecb4af7
5.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004528a0A6e03b254D20593d159860aafb779C29
Tx: 0x00290054801f3014ad140ee800170c246289d8e0827a91f860197c6900074e71
3.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x0015004fc9f5d4abbbfffd92a822df773aa922ce1aa1101120957939699f2988
11.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007D8a473723790DDBED074B846015F5A383045A
Tx: 0x0053003cecc881da076219ac174572f48521dbfd168ca9eb1ff56b070dad61d6
11.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x0001007f1a6630c213a3a37b59b440f7d7d826ac6cd43fa926ce4dad6ea9b53b
8.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001b629a8992fc22B5122cE8F5B5B5753B62FDE4
Tx: 0x001f003f6f5ea97a1ca4d464d0d7dc1bdde67679ad5d61afa8319867a8251024
8.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x002d0021e9c51290d54f7e2fad131f2fb8ef65c4e892096b8d40b9b12bb93bb9
32.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Tx: 0x004a0056636f7f77c89bd27a7774862f62743042123ae834f30aaf0dcc592e70
9.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x000b00380b9a443241099c88cb20d0e9c710b8fbd7d2234ae970f0e375304d59
19.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Tx: 0x0064001e1ba1ef844290c08c9687a71f3eaa7a0d068137c75cd667154a728845
43.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0040005154b556b11f7f31217b2f759dbba80f0e0b6db456a4032e99018764f9
4.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x00040025432189e7ce38b929e050df05aaf5077f4ba415d610691d7b269c4441
