Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 1:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 1:11:00 P.M. to 10/31/2026, 1:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 106.5
Unexplained QUAI: 124.36
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
1
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
230.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 231 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 1:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
106.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
106.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 106.5 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
230.86 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:11:18 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
106.5 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:12:23 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
11,500 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:09:12 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
11,071.65 QUAI • 68 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:08:08 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,574.25 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:13:33 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
2,652.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:14:37 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:05:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
106.5 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:11:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
106.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:11:41 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00160064c51c5a52acc030ce6f60c6ea519455ff70d996e87eca4a61c7d99442