Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 8:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 8:12:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 8:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,638.82
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
1,638.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0075FbF3135a7406bBaC9E4Ab1b9c52EDb5553DA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1639 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0075FbF3135a7406bBaC9E4Ab1b9c52EDb5553DA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 8:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,619.36 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0075FbF3135a7406bBaC9E4Ab1b9c52EDb5553DA
Net sender
Unknown type
1,005.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
306.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
104.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
Net sender
Unknown type
102.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,619.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:11:59 A.M.
-1 min
22 tx
832.62 QUAI • 39 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:10:55 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,638.82 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:13:09 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
110 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:09:51 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:14:14 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,704.65 QUAI • 61 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:08:47 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:15:18 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:07:43 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,005.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0075FbF3135a7406bBaC9E4Ab1b9c52EDb5553DA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
19.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0022007da3a8780b92aec7d62006d72b73d4153ef4fefe146fe90dab692dc5a9
104.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00710009e250f0b21180331af8903c3fc9148c7b21ef65b1870d2a0f556f7626
1,005.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x0075FbF3135a7406bBaC9E4Ab1b9c52EDb5553DA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0008006f97be7ce3c2fee3913f523d7d46c51ac2250bad428ee2a83d15f18dbe
306.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a007c55b075fb043a31d4e2cc89547e98ec01d0f4964958b93e3e76597a9c
102.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006000368c014e367f6b20c848ca2ed2e32a7ee94d02a05097ce59bb94f4117e
100.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x004AC3051C3CF518fCEB00534ee7f62d058c7869
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0079979bfdc902e790828b25e9749b8e2b260e9d941df401089d84a6a6f3
