Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 8:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 8:03:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,720.48
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
4,720.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038724F218912f629bc8cAf293b9D9cfC2226d3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4720 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038724F218912f629bc8cAf293b9D9cfC2226d3.
0x000eA12Ac834460b54033ddF6E40f2e8C37A9871 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 8:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
2,836.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0038724F218912f629bc8cAf293b9D9cfC2226d3
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,836.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
1,787.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,787.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
86.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eA12Ac834460b54033ddF6E40f2e8C37A9871 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 10 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 2,836.82 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
4,720.48 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:03:27 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:02:22 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
6,629.43 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:01:16 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:04:31 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:00:12 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
23,002.41 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:05:35 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 7:59:09 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,786.8 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 8:06:39 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,836.82 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:03:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0038724F218912f629bc8cAf293b9D9cfC2226d3
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
86.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:03:12 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x006e002c2b428149447f3a0352ccaf8aaf3e92280264f5149993fd6f794ca126
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:03:12 A.M.
From: 0x000eA12Ac834460b54033ddF6E40f2e8C37A9871
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00710074422398df78676e64c0348e083cbfda1fa76fa72e286332f6b23b7a4b
2,836.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:03:12 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0038724F218912f629bc8cAf293b9D9cfC2226d3
Tx: 0x00130020cfc5ab500e6b0dab6f4ed57edc0bd95a0514b5d5de63c37d4c9af1d7
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:03:12 A.M.
From: 0x000eA12Ac834460b54033ddF6E40f2e8C37A9871
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0063002c56a85fd6a8825e62efb8bfa8257d663c2de348428ded051f503af152
1,787.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 8:03:12 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Tx: 0x0041006c05a8ef812d65910a59241aa9241c494b959f143e3062c3d0148a1556
