Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 4:07:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,803.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
6.6x above local average
87x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
7,803.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0043e67D8C1Fd42dCb7325ACa941A237285AA575.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7804 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0043e67D8C1Fd42dCb7325ACa941A237285AA575.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
3,905.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0043e67D8C1Fd42dCb7325ACa941A237285AA575
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,905.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
3,714 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,714 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ebBF7B39018a2036EE1E7A6Dd778Ee5dE1e2D
Net sender
Unknown type
184.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 184.3 QUAI
From exchange: 3,905.47 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 4:06:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
7,803.78 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 4:07:34 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
89.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 4:05:26 A.M.
+2 min
50 tx
904.67 QUAI • 63 addresses
10/31/2026, 4:08:39 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
185 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 4:04:22 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
10/31/2026, 4:09:42 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/31/2026, 4:03:18 A.M.
+4 min
27 tx
467.62 QUAI • 48 addresses
10/31/2026, 4:10:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,905.47 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0043e67D8C1Fd42dCb7325ACa941A237285AA575
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3,714 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000d0073f59dfb190d318601647f80dc524a13ce656a3dab504f6987b565ee94
184.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006ebBF7B39018a2036EE1E7A6Dd778Ee5dE1e2D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00720001e456d2a2bbbe02b120d8778024a6a18ac6f999380b904d7fbea02038
3,905.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0043e67D8C1Fd42dCb7325ACa941A237285AA575
Tx: 0x0076004f7103be2eaeba04238b324343614b43cc1aa0b615759663bdffc37def