Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 3:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 3:23:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 3:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
45% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,431.31
Unexplained QUAI: 11,717.57
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
21,148.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 21149 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 3:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,184.87 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,075.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0064DB653D558D0AD90697C9DF9b741fCEbE9733
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,555.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Net sender
Unknown type
1,592.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,171.27 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,184.87 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
4,044.95 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:22:39 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,847.56 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:21:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
21,148.88 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:23:43 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
9,256.78 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:24:48 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
3,349.02 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:20:27 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
2,162.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:25:52 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
6,255.86 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:19:23 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
6,957.43 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:26:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,555.98 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0064DB653D558D0AD90697C9DF9b741fCEbE9733
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
519.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0064eFB09ca4F1e6a3736a418cfbc3D363eeA11F
Tx: 0x00070069937365e1e62fccde788cc4da0024ba21e6c74b8a3e99f72b0d7a4f69
982.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Tx: 0x006e0048fffcb870228622e0684bd65f4740fe78563689094f8bdb12945a5d8c
406.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078000605b997943bd01ad5a696c02804e1d0ebef3876a6f4ef96182351f2b2
953.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x005e7706c58686D000bD557c1D7677C3ac57B020
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071000e042de2f1a324c68645739cec04d725c47ac527e31df8f8af449ea220
427.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x005e1Af85c269d884b4363c324C0f29c3344B801
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046004d164d24f63f7532a8d0f9efac704c6c73b9fa72542338ce9cece40274
803.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0068403117ab9f970de8e910f9254ab1b09eb2ec7e3a6dd3c20160a366c0
1,592.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0029003d561e7e8bd5c46cfb266d69c3e4b6d91f58e9c3dc0815a25acb274dd9
188.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0056D372351D3f05B8c8F594e5c0921cb6AA0AF4
Tx: 0x000c0057347e0e5e1430beb2a99554877c96f790e8c0eaa5437d71276293fe45
3,555.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:23:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0064DB653D558D0AD90697C9DF9b741fCEbE9733
Tx: 0x005c003a9927f7142f0481768263ddcc89e1be4da6c963a304e663ff809e4c4f