Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 3:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 3:06:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,117.03
Unexplained QUAI: 42,891.12
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
4.7x above local average
5.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
8
38.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
37
Asset volume
55,008.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 55008 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b -> 0x00366e7Dd84889F9708780F86bfCc407701EdCFb (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 3:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,487.66 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,028.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,624.13 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004C38126c89669552A626cE5982B0CB27B72689
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,591.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Net receiver
Unknown type
930.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b → 0x00366e7Dd84889F9708780F86bfCc407701EdCFb
2 repeated flows • 5.24 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
5 tx
9,461.66 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:05:28 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate21 tx
55,008.15 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:06:32 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
2,649.15 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:04:23 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:07:37 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
15,200.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:03:19 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:08:40 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:02:14 A.M.
+4 min
57 tx
10,496.51 QUAI • 71 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:09:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,028.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
1,591.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004C38126c89669552A626cE5982B0CB27B72689
Tx: 0x0026006a4f3a72166d31b8dda3cc106b980c3b55713b6b91b721c852c7e6d284
930.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Tx: 0x0076006e65a8a0b3d02fa2e0b38059ec8e5cd66e1e3d488ec318f8ab9f19ef28
8,028.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Tx: 0x00170024a103bb0d02bf92b6436c334a2d3c06136e514eaeaf6d1f2a14d13921
910.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Tx: 0x002f0045ad86f7dcca8f04f4c813fb6e6e423e212039b50b24a82ccbfa38d5eb
2.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:19 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00366e7Dd84889F9708780F86bfCc407701EdCFb
Tx: 0x0051004bdf96c23052eab8dc1da11735005ca4483cad394e304dc50724582c40
528.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bc9D9bbFFF01079A84f410D0fe06b984120bf
Tx: 0x0008000390fd4916ad86c532b38e2898f8b61ed968a346d7a9c1e3e0917284fd
123.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bCdE3e02aD0C5c5aC33eF98b864dcC82cD661
Tx: 0x002e0000582f88649346e3a1cc8acbc5e14b0bad4853b9f6b6a4eb9d2caa2d95
2.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:06:09 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00366e7Dd84889F9708780F86bfCc407701EdCFb
Tx: 0x00670067fc2c991fd52857f0cf38dc83446bd47939aa8f45f2412d105b9765f4
