Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 3:00:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 3:01:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,349.93
Unexplained QUAI: 4,766.74
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
0.7x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
6
85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
8,116.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 8117 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,251.32 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,691.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,098.61 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Net receiver
Unknown type
438.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
435.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
8,116.67 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:00:05 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
11,204.82 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:59:02 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,349.93 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:01:10 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:57:58 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:02:14 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,366.11 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:56:54 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
15,200.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 3:03:19 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
1,610.07 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:55:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,691.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:00:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
255.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:00:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00454AfacF630E31be55A5FfD972242C55b7ff94
Tx: 0x001400773a283b1727c93b208411e13a39b3352f89af2818363cdb881ef46544
435.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:00:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x000d0075a3cfc83b1574fc023193b14e084325dc76b63d871fbd1b2058df3c6b
124.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:00:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
Tx: 0x0020003229dc7bebcaa1594b9447fc6d586597884d7564a141aff3288775f1c5
404.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:00:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x0049004866ceb4be032a82c8de51b5d94aecccd8450cb36d9672f2c8b5314786
1,691.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Tx: 0x004e004a4440fd15f7177cacb2f6f029fca698ffbce2c60cddd32133cfefa424
438.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 3:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x004b006cad093409841dd145953dcce7419468df10e0b771b8363a8844999bdc