Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,452.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
5,452.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 5453 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,209.26 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,241.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Net sender
Unknown type
969.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003AbD43E562Af0b727B8D7A0f771646004e6286
Net sender
Unknown type
804.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
790.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,209.26 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
2,932.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:52:39 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
22,007.29 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:51:30 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
5,452.52 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:53:43 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:54:47 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
20,236.53 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:50:26 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
1,610.07 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:55:51 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
3,928.39 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:49:21 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,366.11 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:56:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,241.26 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
452.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x0027003dbcd42b7a44ffd661ccc61e6b6775ff6f09795021e94740ab8edb403e
790.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Tx: 0x001e001b79b9ab01c7bf4868f713e4da113421d90370e0d6ba72a028c2467a0a
764.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
From: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00450048ee0e0a3133cd9b121b78bc17ee593324cb6cafc9253b5934ca27924e
1,241.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
From: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e003c37f5ffca074ca13f63e6918abcd27516aa3a7822cd5ca57dfb2a46d8
186.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
From: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e002e4ca570edfb3d72588152345708e6913e6f40893017b99a93ab50983f
242.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
From: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049000fc5c0e9882a959ca82ff157d36d323a74affe08656d5ae5b1ef57f968
804.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
From: 0x003AbD43E562Af0b727B8D7A0f771646004e6286
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00360065ce672b771f6fb9d403d99b4327b07ab8768b27a460306d5100de9195
969.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
From: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0008000d2a0051f26938032ba3ea492cea00d87e1cd5d7fee4f04e65ce49cf5f