Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:49:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,483.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
3,928.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 3928 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,197.69 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,871.11 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,494.94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003723fAc34386d8F470BD988B91d1912b2D3F17
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,065.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Net receiver
Unknown type
970.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
3,928.39 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:49:21 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
13,656.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:48:17 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
20,236.53 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:50:26 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
6,506.74 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:47:14 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,136.72 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:46:10 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
22,007.29 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:51:30 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
4,030.08 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:45:03 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
2,932.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:52:39 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,409.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:49:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
815.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:49:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00389d6003B44DD71FCFF1d7A1a47f7eBCD82496
Tx: 0x003c00548f84339839eae285355f49ccc0e7f079f3ecc66608470bc6599d47e7
1,065.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:49:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003723fAc34386d8F470BD988B91d1912b2D3F17
Tx: 0x003000168bf190855d3be1f7415a4106eb8049ad7c292aa08aeb9be98181e5b3
970.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:49:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Tx: 0x004b0057e9a24cca2adba72d0aa82034b7769ea9c5f468e7ca4595c0feb3a754
1,409.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:49:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x005b0042982a53428b523312a9c3999ea81491146ba1897ecefe8db05c5b369c
415 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:49:04 A.M.
From: 0x004155e8e7638519EfbD15eE0d071Fd55b95CB54
To: 0x004fB7bD8D7Be7912bE2a27b99658677B0620fD6
Tx: 0x00590067cf68d1325c698f7e8751994b540bccf60ec91a15d063cddd6da99cd9
1,085.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:49:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x007000545dec19d9feb97a509b90916851c4820c85ff9299e16331baf114829a
722.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:49:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x0025004b0f506d4345b9715d0693859ed876ef4d833a599634c7acd9c86ae717
