Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,322.9
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
4,195.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4196 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,478.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,992.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d13187dfA4Ca5D68f7cfB1B330006F6061bE6
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,486 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
756.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Net receiver
Unknown type
641.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,107.15 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:39:38 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
8,041.75 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:38:34 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
4,195.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:40:42 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:37:30 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
6,684.84 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
14,421.2 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:42:54 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate18 tx
23,293.84 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:36:23 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:43:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,992.53 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,486 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:40:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002d13187dfA4Ca5D68f7cfB1B330006F6061bE6
Tx: 0x00390060887bc50ddebeadaae12efcdf232a949f72b4012cf60e0ba78769f058
641.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:40:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x006d004f1ed4d1bbebbef4b30632ad51fe1fa2eaa586ae56b055e14fcdf7b5ef
115.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E5fD51069dFbafDAC79B490aD988d03EF0671
Tx: 0x00340039ad77ed59a570eab11e561c056cdce5e4622424ad923bc5bad9479c3e
3,992.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Tx: 0x00010078cb50169006019885fa9113caa0c84e10c6a92df41933e7b483580406
88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x00440068bebf57066456e659ab250726b3b358636b8e294721fdca0401b14a36