Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:32:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,517.56
Unexplained QUAI: 11,851.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
4.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
3
23.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
15,369.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 15369 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,208.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,208.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
179.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007193723AAd343838F2FAD85aAC6Df072b08E11
Net receiver
Unknown type
179.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
129.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate13 tx
15,369.5 QUAI • 33 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:32:05 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:31:01 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
3,517.56 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:33:09 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
2,248.64 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:29:56 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
7,091.04 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:34:14 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
5,051.45 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:28:52 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
487.89 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:35:18 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,701.41 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:27:48 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,208.23 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:32:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3,208.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:32:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
Tx: 0x00410045350123eff24a904e08459d30fc2c87f0323a8ab9702129aefedda7e3
129.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:32:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001c9765Baa98a952401E23a32055617bCE29d78
Tx: 0x007d0010b00cc7b938ed97d584cc1a609766306262e524f1be9467a7ec4eaa29
179.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:32:30 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007193723AAd343838F2FAD85aAC6Df072b08E11
Tx: 0x005c00076fc95a52847c05a594734aeeed2caf78bde0c36a7d80483723d7a31e