Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:17:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,678.23
Unexplained QUAI: 2,403.29
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
4,081.52 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4082 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00A5170fad712fEEaa1622D161b7D45325dAbb16 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
883.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
Net receiver
Unknown type
883.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
690.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net receiver
Unknown type
690.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
403.09 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00A5170fad712fEEaa1622D161b7D45325dAbb16
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
4,081.52 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:17:04 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
4,090.42 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,678.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:18:08 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate11 tx
20,264.53 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:14:55 A.M.
+2 min
17 tx
19,355.25 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:19:12 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
3,828.38 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:13:50 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:20:18 A.M.
-4 min
14 tx
13,066.63 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:12:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
883.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:17:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
3.09 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:17:38 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00A5170fad712fEEaa1622D161b7D45325dAbb16
Tx: 0x007b00977d3db89ab5b4a3cffa6c13591c0d4022352a36b49ceca3624d97b2d2
104.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:17:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0014572168bcfeA4042270AEcF5AC8deb0ddCfa4
Tx: 0x0012007081ad908b84d6cdc5720c984c2e8f2ac3f040d62aff1af9086caebfc5
690.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:17:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Tx: 0x007d001fb3e91c31f9e45feb211eb361af1e49753f8cd2263676f069fd830029
883.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:17:18 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
Tx: 0x005d001853a6fb2f2c59a22e746d83ca7f97e5ccb113e1584e34aa5d45efbb90
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:17:18 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00A5170fad712fEEaa1622D161b7D45325dAbb16
Tx: 0x0009000888c058cb479f9efd67664d02946b2a008760a16fecae635bcdd2c8e3