Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:15:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,090.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 800
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
4,090.42 QUAI
800 QI
Avg confidence
70.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4090 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00A5170fad712fEEaa1622D161b7D45325dAbb16 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,403.11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,402.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000ECfA7B75c5bc5000404cC660Ad1Ffd5cEbC1F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,301.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,252.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
800 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00A5170fad712fEEaa1622D161b7D45325dAbb16
2 repeated flows • 800 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate11 tx
20,264.53 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:14:55 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
3,828.38 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:13:50 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
4,090.42 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
13,066.63 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:12:46 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
4,081.52 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:17:04 A.M.
-3 min
23 tx
12,375.02 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:11:39 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,678.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:18:08 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,301.02 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000ECfA7B75c5bc5000404cC660Ad1Ffd5cEbC1F
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
1,301.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000ECfA7B75c5bc5000404cC660Ad1Ffd5cEbC1F
Tx: 0x0063005f57aa57d4f23592605155a3d81bc4e9a749cc0ffeaadea274cd89406d
732.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:55 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002d72d7bA99eC4958ec0378cA92F3A35E2Ec654
Tx: 0x007a0025f4b5f3876b11d03ea394dd3d63034fb642fc816b8742c7fee95c7b82
777.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x00140039f9cc737d1a01c036c64d8ea374a8a1c6e43207e18063a85a4106f2e7
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:55 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00A5170fad712fEEaa1622D161b7D45325dAbb16
Tx: 0x0032004e53a3d6c3dd4cbe1a5c9beaa4ee65000e8b7131cf76ac483b3831628c
102.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000ebcFaBc283a5E596dAa83e530d719db12c520
Tx: 0x00080058ca6c79ebdabe2b681582cd0c18b4a5957ed8e5a3d00e98007162c8b5
625.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0009E45a232b171d89bd3228Cc215C95C98563fa
Tx: 0x00550030f252ab17799dfa93c3e3aa0fdf82f962949e760159b59acb4557035f
519.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:50 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x006c00712f983ad022bba622f13153712a3a9349b7ae376fc9cabb8e949a9bb8
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:50 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00A5170fad712fEEaa1622D161b7D45325dAbb16
Tx: 0x003b0005533f690515475b2bc960a6bf142967de7f1f05a00cd54a69eecab645
32.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:15:50 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x000CeB50C226a80d275683f35fEC26Ce7CEb12af
Tx: 0x004600717d5a8a8c463b9bf66bc2fbdece60338f3fa64cf56d96b02e8d687f24