Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 2:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 2:13:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,828.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
3,828.38 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
72.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3828 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00d5F9adF1C34751a4cffEF965546ea96756Ee90 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,860.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,860.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,373.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,373.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
403.1 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00d5F9adF1C34751a4cffEF965546ea96756Ee90
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
13,066.63 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:12:46 A.M.
-1 min
23 tx
12,375.02 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:11:39 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
3,828.38 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:13:50 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate11 tx
20,264.53 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:14:55 A.M.
-3 min
53 tx
15,452.02 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:09:31 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
4,090.42 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
4,081.52 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/31/2026, 2:17:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,860.7 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:13:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3.1 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:13:38 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00d5F9adF1C34751a4cffEF965546ea96756Ee90
Tx: 0x00070080569f4832a989f9a9d00fe14aa05e2adb8e7ba7263509d7149d1f18ee
1,373.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
Tx: 0x00540073366fff4a1efc162b0dd806e35a220649d9152ecd1f4d3e73df6cddcd
112.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001c5EacaeE11c6C62251271fb84844166202e57
Tx: 0x0039001130d7df5becdfc82330b6ccd6bb40e81477b1f883470e1ac081001747
132 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000b7C4b595073eB21536B81B8A233d0382094bc
Tx: 0x0062003ff2d58ce1a6a7c4ffb46904d6b46ddfb107e5510c708f87d1c7e4a672
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00d5F9adF1C34751a4cffEF965546ea96756Ee90
Tx: 0x001400119583071cf7f959ae668b49cf6270872e9ef2d82777146c51efbdda2a
349.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x000053177CA489a839d9D735D497C97b8D9d6E0A
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x001e0040d8e79d6dd55eca03f0140ff4f6bb88e0722045e141ef71be88d611a6
1,860.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 2:13:05 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x00100022e639cd9196c340c853e0232637379cd1198201eaa47c73662dac2c8d