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Spike bucket

10/31/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/31/2026, 2:03:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

67% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 0

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 400

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 0% of explained volume

Relative context

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

0 QUAI

400 QI

Avg confidence

100.0%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00cA12F4672BE83BCe6EbEa39d6ea5F819c19F89.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 0 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00cA12F4672BE83BCe6EbEa39d6ea5F819c19F89.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 10/31/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

Net sender

Unknown type

403.07 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00cA12F4672BE83BCe6EbEa39d6ea5F819c19F89

Net receiver

Unknown type

400 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x008c42382dC9209C5fC74dD499BA9f5240fE6465

Net receiver

Unknown type

3.07 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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2 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 3. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.