Spike bucket
10/31/2026, 1:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/31/2026, 1:10:00 A.M. to 10/31/2026, 1:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 182.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
182.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 183 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/31/2026, 1:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
182.6 QUAI across 12 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
62.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Net receiver
Unknown type
14.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net receiver
Unknown type
12.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:09:43 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate50 tx
648.09 QUAI • 63 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:08:39 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
182.6 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:10:47 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:07:35 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:11:51 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
104.43 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:06:30 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:12:54 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
100.4 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/31/2026, 1:13:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
62.16 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
4.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002E3d9A44C87B179Fe996e5fa183271c28c736F
Tx: 0x004a005e3d26427bf4c617d3ee347ab6a7a20ab645c5b3145cb68bd155eb9037
4.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x00280021a4ad2a6a69e58310a9b566126ef6d3e741c2514e60eb2374dd599781
9.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Tx: 0x0015002e91da38df8071bdd186c9d71f4ae324ebc932826d06b4bb88dadfeb28
4.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x00240004c96dadc51586bc82645ff12a908198abe95c5a632ab64eb704eab4ee
43.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Tx: 0x0009002a2ee509eac0edcf6fd061cfbeb9c80c052340029a07eee0d11cfdc2fb
14.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x00080064c344f594d071b1565e291e328c873602da1e105474d426831d1ce9a3
12.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x002e003217a3b090cd5679b358941fd0129397c6ff513b295ae025fc6397dd5c
4.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x0044002551e671d6a8894af8f7fe16d53582cbc2a241b8d4bb0e4f82c06ac9ca
62.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0055000aff7654f7c7d10b61714bf635fc4af583a3ea7ba1fd3bf2ebe28f8d03
11.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x00410008332dbed4463d2bdf8e9ab1ccad850a0c0a05a48d42dc37242b5eaa47
4.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x0062000b83e98227bddb6844ba25795396a62fdee146bab11b58b2fc5e22d1e4
5.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/31/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Tx: 0x002e0069d5897f8c7e95380cf2ca94839a0a70f15580d58763bccff7fe14a158