Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 11:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 11:41:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 11:42:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,352.65
Unexplained QUAI: 46,340.63
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.49
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
6.8x above local average
6.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
35
Observable rows
7
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
52
Asset volume
55,693.28 QUAI
2.49 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 55693 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 11:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,352.65 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
3,174.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
Net sender
Unknown type
1,467.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0077A46ff17DC4c8976793d456C64D04da5B1C6D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,248.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0050464153f91b15e036c82278970128340EA04E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,140.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,352.65 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate35 tx
55,693.28 QUAI • 52 addresses
10/30/2026, 11:41:12 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/30/2026, 11:40:08 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
9,352.65 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 11:42:17 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 11:39:03 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
93.28 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 11:43:22 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/30/2026, 11:44:26 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 11:36:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,174.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 11:41:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1,248.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 11:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x0077A46ff17DC4c8976793d456C64D04da5B1C6D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007900570b119d5b178bad5d5e70c2607e8ed0acf1e2ce25d39a6edb2fc271df
1,116.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 11:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x001C39186372f49A8b92e66736401DfaC7e85122
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f001a9f3b836b355c50973c16f5f6ab67106b29eed8c2e337ca187f74c465
621.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 11:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x006dCf03893484bEeB805E2718Fe94B8ADb42847
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c001c934f56ad951c6259c026ee7121bcab8861785d1f04e3a48a0e3ceb6a
1,467.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 11:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00590025488e9122867fc4acc058f6217914cca5a04f4a18841b8813f2e290b0
3,174.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 11:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00300057b7d25db8e6960adf74b6e3e76441c1e3aebd848dfa632abfb29da985
584.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 11:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x0026dC85a940a9bC4E57b84fc73a1491F2d7cd50
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019001f810de0b3c7b45fb5712cc3658d7e6766962fa4ee5133c6c30b924d4d
1,140.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 11:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x0050464153f91b15e036c82278970128340EA04E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00430006832d3d2bcf236a9032bfd84968ed8c5259674acaa937db1bf4ef1458