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Spike bucket

10/30/2026, 10:15:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/30/2026, 10:15:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 10:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
96% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 48.49
Unexplained QUAI: 1.82
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
50.3 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA • 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 50 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA • 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 10:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.49 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.49 QI across 2 visible rows
0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
Net sender
Unknown type
48.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.49 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

300 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 10:15:15 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
2.49 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 10:15:46 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00190087a55c14e3a71f69988e2bbc8a44b9c129dfb55b872acf6bd1a977db39
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 10:15:15 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000100146609b65bef74b7d46eff1e6ad30f8b04025ab6171d6827337e870094
48.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 10:15:15 P.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x007400411943bfe055053238ba2d4f288e7e3d281d8a3cc07a62e3c2e41ca171