Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 7:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 7:30:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 7:31:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,495.82
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
1,495.82 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1496 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 7:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,495.82 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
Net sender
Unknown type
843.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f7d7B1cB860C695ED2eC7BC822Cb8F6A74B28
Net sender
Unknown type
652.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,495.82 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,495.82 QUAI • 5 addresses
10/30/2026, 7:30:04 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 7:29:01 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
10/30/2026, 7:31:08 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
10/30/2026, 7:27:57 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/30/2026, 7:32:12 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 7:26:54 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 7:33:16 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate10 tx
10,615.65 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/30/2026, 7:25:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
843.07 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 7:30:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 7:30:00 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x004c0035616c52eadd75557793e3862cd93afefd6eb99cc4af1ce4c6077567cb
843.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 7:30:00 P.M.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001000640f743a6e2460dee5472063fe845d68675b233223172e82e9ac0b09cb
652.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 7:30:00 P.M.
From: 0x007f7d7B1cB860C695ED2eC7BC822Cb8F6A74B28
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003300678520cf32360344cf14e29a2ac8ccbeb1042fca5e3ad27e9712408f27