Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 6:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 6:47:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 6:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 60.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.5
Unexplained QI: 297.5
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
0 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 6:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
60.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.5 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.5 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:47:17 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:46:13 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
60.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:48:22 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:45:10 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:49:26 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:44:06 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:43:02 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:50:30 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
60.6 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:47:38 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.5 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:47:43 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006200d3c81c560ae94a38291e92616a1bc4817e57751c746d71d85b2254eace
60.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:47:38 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x001d007032f780c1e084d18505e0be9df0c3c36e94146a94933c117b590e612f