Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 6:15:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
25% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 152.99
Unexplained QUAI: 453.63
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.4x previous minute
13x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
606.62 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA • 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 607 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA • 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.47 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.47 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
103.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
Net sender
Unknown type
49.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
606.62 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:15:19 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,633.67 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:14:15 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
48.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:16:22 P.M.
-2 min
12 tx
1,132.86 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:13:11 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
17,907.82 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:17:26 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
40,000 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:12:06 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate53 tx
83,474.23 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:11:02 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
5,181.29 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:18:30 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:15:28 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2.47 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:15:56 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0055009e46fe3d182bb3c33c9e6a3681ad154e595b1914e9ddc9e91bc3d3f4ca
48.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:15:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x001Af0DC1238c4F9a6A338Dc17BA52926483E65B
Tx: 0x0046003f9cfec8ffc76953888922ed0e27c3671ba1f60fd77f19d82028460c24
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:15:28 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0004005493d27777f6c9aaa15f8275af92979a65cd0b67a7a9bf8e777d4a0251
54.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:15:04 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec
Tx: 0x003e001a1b6de020a1de6e5f40a48f7daef487690c850a5dfd14fdc36d0aff25
49.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:15:04 P.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x0002007b04964adcc11893e6ede4849b3e41c9adb722d43fd3ddd668933aa78f